Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 1.603126 1.672977 1.744638 1.823788 1.908915 1.997891 2.098144
2025-12-28 1.489763 1.591368 1.699668 1.824249 1.964306 2.117730 2.299657
2026-01-04 1.376534 1.496480 1.628113 1.784444 1.966593 2.174083 2.431216
2026-01-11 1.309816 1.445749 1.598777 1.785778 2.010918 2.277006 2.621206
2026-01-18 1.263485 1.413334 1.585881 1.802247 2.070756 2.399389 2.842722
2026-01-25 1.209069 1.366928 1.552033 1.789097 2.090827 2.471310 3.003879
2026-02-01 1.153498 1.315375 1.508022 1.759086 2.085494 2.507756 3.118260
2026-02-08 1.089611 1.250299 1.443605 1.698785 2.035847 2.480427 3.139514
2026-02-15 1.047091 1.209373 1.406822 1.671049 2.026048 2.504271 3.233218
2026-02-22 1.016415 1.181628 1.384945 1.660816 2.037991 2.557389 3.372865
2026-03-01 0.982551 1.148375 1.354361 1.637079 2.029320 2.579667 3.466181
2026-03-08 0.936065 1.097473 1.299081 1.577674 1.967588 2.520876 3.426226
2026-03-15 0.912606 1.077131 1.285068 1.576645 1.992572 2.597637 3.623192
2026-03-22 0.896907 1.066409 1.283444 1.592811 2.043754 2.718895 3.912097
2026-03-29 0.866739 1.035721 1.254035 1.568777 2.034562 2.746382 4.043496
2026-04-05 0.849416 1.021276 1.245762 1.573996 2.069082 2.845752 4.318813
2026-04-12 0.836962 1.012726 1.244955 1.589580 2.120045 2.976216 4.674357
2026-04-19 0.816702 0.992883 1.227653 1.579948 2.130650 3.039247 4.906625
2026-04-26 0.792923 0.967465 1.201580 1.555937 2.116583 3.057847 5.048927
2026-05-03 0.762183 0.931690 1.159822 1.506667 2.058890 2.994553 5.004482
2026-05-10 0.741602 0.909313 1.136289 1.483941 2.043280 3.005708 5.128080
2026-05-17 0.726665 0.894276 1.122641 1.475564 2.050677 3.059216 5.357873
2026-05-24 0.709022 0.875000 1.102295 1.455980 2.038039 3.073993 5.497984